the consequences of an attack on Iran

Iran has recently rejected the IAEA-backed proposal regarding it's nuclear program, with the major failure of nuclear talks (that started last October) from both sides.

Along with this Israel has been the biggest hypocrite of all time calling for the disablement of Iran's nuclear program by force "if required", whilst ignoring the fact that they themselves illegally possess nuclear weapons of their own.

A preemptive long range strike (probably primarily against the Nantanz enrichment facility) by the Israeli Air Force sadly still isn't a far cry from reality.



Which most likely will be in the former of an Operation Opera style attack primarily using Israeli F-15's and F-16's.

However regardless of how serious this attack is on the Iranian public (even if the attack is only meant to knock out a few compounds) I somehow doubt the current regime in Iran will treat it like the Syrians did on a recent Israeli air strike against them.

Iran geographically lies on in western Southeast Asia and most of it's eastern border is on the oil rich Persian Gulf, it is right in the centre of Eurasia which is as put by Dick Cheney "the fertile choke point of civilization."

If attacked for stupid and arrogant reasons by Israel, if Iran then chooses to prevail (rightfully so) this could result (very likely) in disastrous consequences.

The first response would probably be a retaliatory missile strike against Israel using Shahab 3 and Sejil 2 ballistic missiles.



These will probably be launched at neither Israeli air force bases where the attacking planes originated from or at Dimona where Israel's own nuclear weapons are stored rather than at major Israeli cities such as Tel Aviv and Haifa, however this could change regarding the circumstances of the Israeli attack.

However one has doubts that Iran will repeat recent history, such as the Scud strikes from Saddam Hussein's Iraq in 1991, which saw 32 missiles launched mainly at Tel Aviv and Haifa, two people were killed in these strikes, several were wounded and quite a lot of property was damaged, but in the end it was nothing compared to what it was built up to be.



The days following an Israeli attack (regarding what voices are speaking in Tehran) would probably see increased attacks from groups such as Hezbollah in the south of Lebanon against Israeli forces in the Shebba Farms.

Major attacks against British and American soldiers in their bases in the south of Iraq from Shia sympathizers (some 13,000,000 of them in the south of Iraq), several of whom are in underground groups just waiting for their moment to strike, this could see the American and British soldiers in the regions dying after fighting against unbelievable odds from the masses directly backed by their neighboring Iran.

And last but far from least.



If Iran feels continually threatened after a first strike and if the United States continually backs Israel after it's preemptive attack Iran will probably to the best of it's ability close off and burn the oil reserves in the Persian Gulf, along with devastating attacks that could destroy oil refineries in the Emirate countries, attacks against Saudi Arabia could be very likely if they turn a blind eye to Israeli F-16's flying through their air space to strike Iran!

Following such attacks oil at $100 a barrel would look like an unbelievable bargain!

At the end of the day western hypocrisy and one sided support for Israel will be to blame for the acts Iran will be forced to carry out to ensure it's self defence!

unfortunately like it or not Israel is here to stay

A March report (of this year) on Press TV stated that the Israelis were preparing for a simultaneous war against Iran, Syria and Lebanon, it seemed that Israel was briefly thinking of eradicating all its problems (hence enemies) in a style reminiscent to the Six Day War fighting multiple opponents at the same time.

But the truth is Israel has a good chance even in this scenario, the Iranian military had stated it could wipe out Israel in 11 days, I doubt the Iranian Army in a handful of Chinooks would be capable of such thing, however covered by dozens of Shahab 3 missiles they could inflict serious damage.

Serious damage but none of Israel's enemies would be able to wipe out Israel, ever citizen of Israel has to spend over a year in the army and most are capable of defending themselves.



The country is also well capable of defending its air space, it has roughly 200 F-16I's and 100 F-15I's and ever inch of its air space is covered by MIM-23 HAWK missiles (see map below).



But if a total war is fought between Israel and its Arab enemies (this year that is) a serious threat to Israeli security would be Hezbollah, yes the so called terrorist organization formed in 1982 after Israel invaded the south of Lebanon, they are a force to be reckoned with and in 2006 proved they could hold their own against the IDF.



They are extremely loyal to their leader, have dozens of arms supplied to Iran (including dozens of ballistic missiles that can target anywhere within Israel itself) and sits right on Israel's northern door step, I think when Hezbollah will prevail against Israel it won't be a pretty sight.

Serious talks though at the moment are being held on establishing a Palestinian state and working towards having Israel and Palestine co-exist peacefully seems to be the only way of solving this whole thing.

Since as I said, like it or not Israel the nuclear armed super power backed by the worlds only hyper power is here to stay.

who the real bad guys were

Remember the Lebanon war back in 2006, when Hezbollah attacked "Israeli territory" and seized two Israeli soldiers, this led to a war which brought the IDF into South Lebanon in force once again and the bombing of Beirut airport, 2,000 people were killed and George W. Bush later remarked that Hezbollah had lost the war and that there would be a new power in South Lebanon!



The last statement said by Bush was obvious bullshit as Hezbollah are still very much in power and have twice as many missiles and rockets as they had at the start of the war, but lets focus on the Zar'it-Shtula incident;

At around 9:00 a.m. local time (06:00 UTC), on 12 July 2006, Hezbollah forces initiated a rocket and mortar attack on Israeli villages and military positions, Hezbollah forces crossed the recognized border firing an anti tank missile at a Humvee killing three Israeli soldiers and snatching two others retreating behind the border, this incident took under 10 minutes and resulted in a 33 day war in which the IDF killed over 2,000 people.

The kidnappings of Ehud and Eldad from debated territorial Shebaa farms area met massive media attention in the west, Hezbollah were shown as criminals for carrying out this act, but what wasn't reported in the media as much was an event about a week ago, the trade for the bodies of both these soldiers who were kidnapped.

Israel handed over four captured Hezbollah fighters and over 199 bodies of Palestinians;
which just shows how petty and hypocritical the Israelis just are!